Design an anticipatory action system
Build or strengthen triggers, Early Action Protocols, readiness arrangements, pre-agreed actions and decision-making processes.
Anticipatory Action · EWEA · Triggers · Readiness Available for selected assignments
Humanitarian Risk & Resilience Consultant
FROM RISK
TO ACTION.
When risk is understood but action is still uncertain, I help NGOs and humanitarian agencies identify what is blocking the system and turn analysis into practical, operational and fundable decisions.
Anticipatory Action
Disaster Risk Reduction
Climate Resilience
Programme Strategy
INDEPENDENT CONSULTANT
ANTANANARIVO · INTERNATIONAL
ANTICIPATORY ACTION•
EARLY WARNING / EARLY ACTION•
DISASTER RISK REDUCTION•
PROGRAMME DESIGN•
INSTITUTIONAL STRENGTHENING•
ANTICIPATORY ACTION•
EARLY WARNING / EARLY ACTION•
DISASTER RISK REDUCTION•
01
Make it workable
Design decisions around the operational constraints teams actually face.
02
Find the bottleneck
Identify where triggers, financing, SOPs, coordination or readiness are preventing action.
03
Move to decision
Turn diagnosis into clear responsibilities, practical next steps and implementable action.
01 / WHERE I CAN HELP
When the system
needs to move.
Diagnose what is blocking preparedness
Assess institutional capacity, operational bottlenecks, coordination gaps and the practical conditions needed for early action to work.
Preparedness · Capacity · Systems · CoordinationTurn strategy into an operational programme
Translate ideas into concept notes, theories of change, logframes, implementation models, technical frameworks and donor-ready proposals.
Programme Design · ToC · Proposals · StrategyStrengthen institutions and operating systems
Develop SOPs, governance arrangements, coordination mechanisms, simulations, capacity-building plans and practical operating frameworks.
SOPs · Governance · Simulation · Institutional StrengtheningReview a programme before problems become expensive
Provide independent technical review, strategic troubleshooting, quality assurance and focused advisory support for complex programmes.
Technical Review · Advisory · Quality AssuranceFacilitate a process that needs to move
Design and lead workshops, consultations, technical discussions and strategic processes that end with clear decisions and next steps.
Facilitation · Consultation · Workshops · Decision SupportConnect AI tools to operational decisions
Help humanitarian organisations identify where AI can add practical value, redesign workflows and connect predictive outputs to clear decisions, responsibilities and proportionate action. The focus is not model development, but responsible adoption: ensuring that tools fit operational reality, accountability requirements and institutional ownership.
Responsible AI Adoption · Workflow Design · Decision Architecture · Humanitarian Operations02 / WAYS OF WORKING
The level of support
the problem needs.
Find the real bottleneck before committing resources.
A focused review for a programme, system or operational process that is underperforming, stalled or facing a critical decision.
- Typical outputs
- Bottleneck analysis · Priority actions · Decision brief
- Typical duration
- 5–10 working days
Build the architecture needed to move from intent to action.
Structured design support for an Early Action Protocol, operational framework, programme model, SOP package or decision architecture.
- Typical outputs
- Technical design · Operating arrangements · Implementation roadmap
- Typical duration
- 3–8 weeks, depending on scope
Keep senior technical support close to the decisions that matter.
Flexible advisory support for teams designing, implementing or scaling complex humanitarian, preparedness or technology-integration work.
- Typical format
- Agreed days per month · Remote or mission-based support
- Best suited to
- Programme teams · Leadership · Technical working groups
Formats are adapted to the assignment, institutional context and urgency. They can be used independently or combined across a longer engagement.
EVIDENCE BEHIND THE APPROACH
Experience tested against operational constraints.
72h
Operational lead time supported during the Malagasy Red Cross's first cyclone anticipatory activation
4,000
Households covered by drought early-action planning in southern Madagascar
15+ years
Humanitarian field and programme experience across Africa, the Middle East and Latin America
03 / PROBLEMS IN PRACTICE
What the work
has had to solve.
Examples from work in Madagascar between 2023 and 2026, showing the kinds of operational problems addressed while working with the Malagasy Red Cross as Anticipatory Action & DRM Delegate for the German Red Cross.
Turning a forecast into a 72-hour operational decision.
Supported the operationalisation of cyclone anticipatory action, connecting meteorological thresholds, readiness arrangements, coordination and field implementation.
- Contribution
- Technical design, readiness and operational coordination
- Operational evidence
- 72-hour lead time supported in Madagascar
Designing action before drought impacts escalate.
Contributed to an early-action framework combining cash, WASH, early warning, community engagement and protection measures for drought-affected communities.
- Contribution
- Early-action design, triggers and implementation planning
- Planning scale
- Up to 4,000 households
Making anticipatory action usable beyond a single project.
Supported coordination mechanisms, operating procedures, simulations and institutional readiness linking national authorities and humanitarian partners.
- Institutional context
- National authorities, technical services and humanitarian partners
- Contribution
- Governance, SOPs, capacity strengthening and facilitation
- Focus
- Durable systems and operational ownership
04 / OPERATING CONTEXT
Strategy → systems
→ field reality.
FIELD / INSTITUTIONS / DECISIONS
Good systems have to survive contact with operational reality.
The work connects institutional design with the conditions in which teams, authorities and communities actually have to make decisions and deliver.
01
From institutional coordination to operational decisions.
Working with decision-makers and technical teams to make preparedness, early action and resilience systems usable in practice.
02
Close enough to the field to know what will actually work.
Community engagement and operational reality remain part of the design process—not an afterthought.
MADAGASCARAnticipatory Action · Cyclones · Drought · Institutional strengthening
SOMALILANDCommunity resilience · Community-based programming
SUDANProgramme management · Monitoring & learning
MIDDLE EAST & LATIN AMERICAHumanitarian programming · Resilience · Programme coordination
05 / INSIGHTS
Ideas for systems
that have to act.
The Humanitarian AI Toolkit
A practical toolkit for humanitarian professionals to assess opportunities, redesign workflows and integrate AI responsibly into operational decision-making.
View the toolkit on Gumroad ↗The Trigger Fallacy: Why Triggers Inform but Systems Respond
Forecasts and mathematical triggers can inform action, but they cannot substitute for the financing, logistics, staffing, coordination and decision-making that make response possible.
Read on LinkedIn ↗From Readiness Assessment to Readiness Diagnostics
An organisation can pass a readiness assessment and still be unable to act. Readiness diagnostics reveal the specific bottleneck that a single preparedness score can conceal.
Read on LinkedIn ↗From Readiness to Activation Capacity
Readiness is not enough if a system cannot convert it into timely action. Activation capacity is demonstrated when decisions, financing, logistics, staffing and coordination can actually move within the available lead time.
Read on LinkedIn ↗06 / WORKING TOGETHER
Senior support when a decision has to become action.
Complex humanitarian programmes often have enough analysis. The harder question is what is preventing a team or institution from acting on it.
I provide senior technical support to diagnose that gap, structure the decisions that follow and help translate them into workable systems, programmes or operating arrangements.
ANALYSIS IS NOT THE END PRODUCT.
THE DECISION IS.
START WITH THE PROBLEM
What needs to
work better?
Start with a focused 30-minute scoping call. We’ll clarify what is not working, what decision is needed and what kind of support—if any—would be useful. No preparation required.
Consulting assignment
Technical advisory
Short-term mission
Remote or international